Intelligence for
Adamawa State

Activity Pace

Security incidents in Adamawa have increased significantly, with a 13.9% rise from 36 to 41 between January 1 to July 1, 2025, and January 1 to July 1, 2026. The number of fatalities saw an even more alarming surge of 69.4% (from 36 to 61), and the total number of victims more than doubled, increasing by 104.8% (from 63 to 129) over the same periods.

Rising Risk

While Kidnapping remains a prevalent threat with 9 incidents, the data from January 1 to July 1, 2026, indicates a concerning rise in Homicide, accounting for 7 incidents. This suggests a potential escalation in the severity of violence, demanding increased attention to public safety and law enforcement responses.

Severity Level

The period from January 1 to July 1, 2026, shows a high fatality rate, with 61 deaths recorded from 41 incidents. This translates to an average of approximately 1.5 fatalities per incident, highlighting the extreme danger associated with the security events occurring in Adamawa.

Future Outlook

Given the substantial year-on-year increases in incidents, fatalities, and victims, the security outlook for Adamawa remains concerning. The upward trend suggests that without decisive intervention, the state may experience continued or even heightened levels of insecurity in the coming months.