Location Intelligence - Federal Capital Territory State

Activity Pace

The security situation in the Federal Capital Territory has significantly improved from January 1, 2025, to May 14, 2025, compared to the same period in 2026, with a 75% decrease in incidents, from 84 to 21, a 59% decrease in fatalities, from 39 to 16, and a 72.3% decrease in victims, from 202 to 56, indicating a substantial reduction in security threats.

Rising Risk

From January 1, 2026, to May 14, 2026, Kidnapping and Fire Outbreak have emerged as the most frequent risks, each with 3 incidents, highlighting the need for increased vigilance and security measures to mitigate these threats in the region, particularly in Abaji, the most affected Local Government Area.

Severity Level

Insufficient lethality data for this period.

Future Outlook

Based on the current trajectory, with a stable monthly incident trend from April to May 2026, and considering the significant decrease in incidents, fatalities, and victims compared to the same period last year, the near-term outlook for the Federal Capital Territory appears to be relatively stable, with the security situation likely to remain improved in the coming months.