Location Intelligence - Federal Capital Territory State

Tracked Incidents (2026)

42

Most Prevalent Risk

Kidnapping, Fraud

Most Affected LGA

Abaji

Operational Score

0.76

Ranked 19th
Weighted Contribution

Insights

Activity Pace

Security incidents in the Federal Capital Territory have significantly decreased by 52.3% between January 1 to June 10, 2025, and the same period in 2026. This trend is mirrored in fatalities, which dropped by 35%, and victims, down by 60%. This suggests an improvement in the overall security situation compared to last year.

Rising Risk

While overall incidents have decreased, Kidnapping remains a prominent threat in the Federal Capital Territory, accounting for 7 out of 42 incidents recorded between January 1 and June 10, 2026. This indicates that while broader security may be improving, specific high-impact crimes like kidnapping require continued focus.

Severity Level

Between January 1 and June 10, 2026, 26 fatalities were recorded from 42 incidents. This indicates a concerning lethality rate, where approximately 62% of recorded incidents resulted in death. This highlights the severe nature of the security challenges faced.

Future Outlook

Given the substantial year-on-year decrease in incidents and fatalities, the security outlook for the Federal Capital Territory appears to be improving. However, the persistent threat of kidnapping and the high lethality rate suggest that vigilance and targeted security interventions remain crucial.

Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)

Prevalent Risk

High Impact Incidents in Federal Capital Territory (2026)

Incidents by Actors

Operational Risk

Indicator Incidents (Current) Incidents (Prev) Status
Kidnapping 7 34 Improving
Fraud 6 5 Escalating
Theft 4 7 Improving
Terrorism 3 1 Escalating
Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse 2 5 Improving
Armed Robbery 1 22 Improving
Assaults 1 11 Improving
Rape 1 0 Escalating