Location Intelligence - Katsina State

Tracked Incidents (2026)

27

Most Prevalent Risk

Homicide, Terrorism

Most Affected LGA

Bakori

Operational Score

1.64

Ranked 12th
Weighted Contribution

Insights

Activity Pace

Katsina state has experienced a high number of incidents in January 2026, with all 10 incidents occurring in that month. This suggests a potential spike in criminal activity during the start of the year.

Rising Risk

Bandits/UG are the primary actors behind the incidents in Katsina state, responsible for 9 out of 10 incidents. Their dominance in the state's crime landscape poses a significant threat to security.

Severity Level

Homicide is the most frequent risk in Katsina state, accounting for 5 out of 10 incidents. This highlights the deadly nature of the crimes being committed in the state.

Future Outlook

Given the high crime index score of 0.81, Katsina state is likely to continue experiencing significant security challenges in 2026. The state's ranking of 15 in the crime index suggests that it is one of the more insecure states in the country.

Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)

Prevalent Risk

High Impact Incidents in Katsina (2026)

Incidents by Actors

Operational Risk

Indicator Incidents (Current) Incidents (Prev) Status
Terrorism 8 40 Improving
Kidnapping 5 63 Improving
Armed Robbery 1 10 Improving
Firearms Trafficking 1 2 Improving
Human Trafficking 1 1 Stable