Charts, cards, recent incidents, and risk scoring
update from this control.
Tracked Incidents (2026)
57
Most Prevalent Risk
Homicide, Kidnapping
Most Affected LGA
Alkaleri
Operational Score
41.22
Ranked 1st
Weighted Contribution
AI-Powered
Analyst Intelligence
Analysis
Activity Pace
Security incidents in Bauchi state have seen a 10% increase from 40 to 44 between Jan 1 - Jul 1, 2025, and Jan 1 - Jul 1, 2026. This rise is overshadowed by a dramatic 2067.3% surge in fatalities, from 49 to 1062 over the same period. The number of victims also more than tripled, increasing by 194.2% from 52 to 153.
Rising Risk
Homicide has emerged as the most frequent risk, accounting for 9 out of the 44 total incidents recorded between Jan 1 - Jul 1, 2026. This indicates a concerning shift towards lethal violence, with homicide incidents significantly impacting the overall fatality count.
Severity Level
The data indicates a severe increase in lethality, with 1062 fatalities recorded against 44 incidents from Jan 1 - Jul 1, 2026. This results in an extremely high average of approximately 24 fatalities per incident, highlighting the exceptionally deadly nature of recent events.
Future Outlook
Given the sharp increase in fatalities and the prevalence of homicide, the outlook suggests a continued high-risk environment. The substantial rise in violent incidents necessitates heightened vigilance, particularly in areas like Alkaleri LGA, which has been identified as the most affected.
Visual Analytics
Incident Intelligence
Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)
Monthly breakdown of tracked security incidents
Prevalent Risk
Top risk indicators by frequency
High Impact Incidents in Bauchi (2026)
LGA-level incident density map
Incidents by Actors
Distribution of incidents by actor type
Verified
Updates
Recent Incidents
in Bauchi - 2026
Latest verified incident records linked to this
state's location intelligence profile.
Jul 05, 2026Low
Police arrest 15 suspects after Azare youth clash injures 10
Alkaleri
The Bauchi State Police Command has arrested 15 suspects following a violent clash between rival youth groups in Azare, Katagum Local Government Area, which left at least 10 people seriously injured.
Jul 04, 2026Medium
Tragedy as Bauchi ex-deputy governor loses two children in fatal road crash
Alkaleri
The immediate past Deputy Governor of Bauchi State, Senator Baba Tela, has been thrown into mourning following the death of two of his children, Mustapha and Ummi, in a fatal road accident. The siblings reportedly died on Saturday after the vehicle conveying them was involved in a crash along the BauchiAzare highway while they were returning to Bauchi from Azare, the headquarters of Katagum Local Government Area. They were said to have died at the scene of the accident because of the severity of the impact. Their bodies were later taken to a hospital in Bauchi, where medical personnel confirmed their deaths.
Jul 04, 2026Medium
Tragedy as Bauchi ex-deputy governor loses two children in fatal road crash
Alkaleri
The immediate past Deputy Governor of Bauchi State, Senator Baba Tela, has been thrown into mourning following the death of two of his children, Mustapha and Ummi, in a fatal road accident. The siblings reportedly died on Saturday after the vehicle conveying them was involved in a crash along the BauchiAzare highway while they were returning to Bauchi from Azare, the headquarters of Katagum Local Government Area. They were said to have died at the scene of the accident because of the severity of the impact. Their bodies were later taken to a hospital in Bauchi, where medical personnel confirmed their deaths.
Jul 01, 2026Low
Two kidnap victims rescued in Bauchi security operation
Alkaleri
Two people earlier kidnapped by suspected bandits have been rescued during a joint security operation in Gwamnare Forest, Ningi Local Government Area of Bauchi State. The Bauchi State Police Public Relations Officer, SP Nafiu Abubakar, disclosed this in a statement issued on Thursday. According to the statement, the operation followed a directive by the Commissioner of Police, CP Sani-Omolori Aliyu, where he ordered tactical units to intensify operations in communities recently affected by kidnapping and ensure the safe rescue of victims.
Jul 01, 2026Medium
Police arrest three suspects over naming ceremony killing in Bauchi
Alkaleri
The Bauchi State Police Command has arrested three suspects over the alleged killing of a 27-year-old man during a clash that broke out at a naming ceremony in Dosi Hamlet, Bara Village, Kirfi Local Government Area of the state. The commands spokesperson, SP Nafiu Habib, disclosed this in a statement on Wednesday, saying the suspects were arrested in connection with offences bordering on criminal conspiracy, disturbance of public peace and culpable homicide. Habib said the incident was reported to the Kirfi Divisional Police Headquarters by the Officer in Charge of Bara Police Outpost after an 80-year-old resident of Dosi Hamlet lodged a complaint on July 1. According to the police, the violence occurred on June 25 at a
Risk Breakdown
Operational Risk
Indicator
Incidents (Current)
Incidents (Prev)
Status
Kidnapping
9
15
Improving
Armed Robbery
5
10
Improving
Theft
5
8
Improving
Assaults
4
4
Stable
Rape
4
6
Improving
Terrorism
2
2
Stable
Human Trafficking
1
1
Stable
Infrastructural Sabotage
1
2
Improving
Enterprise
Intelligence
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