Location Intelligence - Oyo State

Tracked Incidents (2026)

48

Most Prevalent Risk

Fire Outbreak, Homicide

Most Affected LGA

Saki West

Operational Index Score

1.33

Ranked 13th
Weighted Contribution

Insights

Activity Pace

Oyo state has experienced a significant number of incidents in January 2026, with 26 reported cases, indicating a high velocity of security threats. This requires immediate attention from security agencies.

Rising Risk

Fire Outbreak is the most frequent risk in Oyo state, with 9 reported cases, posing a significant threat to lives and properties. Proactive measures should be taken to mitigate this risk.

Severity Level

Homicide and Assaults are among the top risks in Oyo state, with 3 and 2 reported cases respectively, indicating a high level of lethality. Security agencies should focus on preventing these violent crimes.

Future Outlook

Given the high crime index score of 0.64, Oyo state is expected to experience continued security threats in 2026, with Citizens and Bandits/UG being the top actors involved in these incidents. Security agencies should develop strategies to address these threats.

Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)

Prevalent Risk

High Impact Incidents in Oyo (2026)

Incidents by Actors

Operational Risk Index

Indicator Incidents (Current) Incidents (Prev) Status
Kidnapping 4 11 Improving
Assaults 3 2 Escalating
Armed Robbery 2 8 Improving
Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse 2 1 Escalating
Terrorism 2 0 Escalating
Firearms Trafficking 1 1 Stable
Fraud 1 2 Improving
Human Trafficking 1 1 Stable
Organ Trafficking 1 3 Improving
Rape 1 1 Stable
Theft 1 3 Improving