Location Intelligence - Oyo State
Tracked Incidents (2026)
101
Most Prevalent Risk
Fire Outbreak, Kidnapping
Most Affected LGA
Afijio
Operational Score
1.56
Ranked 10th
Weighted Contribution
Insights
AnalysisSeverity Level
'Homicide' is the deadliest threat type in Oyo this year, averaging 1.3 casualties per incident. Travellers and operations in affected areas face an elevated survival-threat level from this specific risk.
Future Outlook
Based on a 3-month moving average, approximately 21 incidents are projected for the coming month in Oyo. The trend is accelerating — activity has been climbing month-on-month.
Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)
Prevalent Risk
High Impact Incidents in Oyo (2026)
Incidents by Actors
Operational Risk
| Indicator | Incidents (Current) | Incidents (Prev) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kidnapping | 16 | 11 | Escalating |
| Armed Robbery | 10 | 8 | Escalating |
| Terrorism | 4 | 0 | Escalating |
| Assaults | 3 | 2 | Escalating |
| Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse | 3 | 1 | Escalating |
| Fraud | 2 | 2 | Stable |
| Organ Trafficking | 2 | 3 | Improving |
| Firearms Trafficking | 1 | 1 | Stable |
| Human Trafficking | 1 | 1 | Stable |
| Rape | 1 | 1 | Stable |
| Theft | 1 | 3 | Improving |