Location Intelligence - Borno State

Tracked Incidents (2026)

43

Most Prevalent Risk

Terrorism, Homicide

Most Affected LGA

Maiduguri

Operational Score

16.80

Ranked 2nd
Weighted Contribution

Insights

Activity Pace

Borno state has experienced a high number of incidents in January, with 13 incidents reported, and a significant decrease in February with only 1 incident. This suggests a potential shift in security trends.

Rising Risk

Terrorism is the most frequent risk in Borno state, with 6 incidents reported, and ISWAP is one of the top actors involved, indicating a need for increased counter-terrorism efforts. Bandits/UG are also a significant threat, with 7 incidents attributed to them.

Severity Level

The most affected LGA is Monguno, and the top risks include Terrorism and Homicide, which have the potential to cause significant harm to the population. The crime index score of 4.74 indicates a high level of crime in the state.

Future Outlook

Based on the current trends, it is likely that the number of incidents will remain low in the coming months, but the risk of Terrorism and Homicide will persist, requiring continued security efforts to mitigate these threats. The state's crime index score suggests that security measures should be maintained and strengthened.

Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)

Prevalent Risk

High Impact Incidents in Borno (2026)

Incidents by Actors

Operational Risk

Indicator Incidents (Current) Incidents (Prev) Status
Terrorism 25 81 Improving
Kidnapping 4 17 Improving
Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse 1 0 Escalating