Intelligence for
Kebbi State

Activity Pace

Security incidents in Kebbi have significantly escalated between Jan 1, 2026 and Jul 1, 2026, compared to the same period last year. Incidents rose by 66.7% (45 vs 27), while fatalities saw an even sharper increase of 82.1% (142 vs 78). The number of victims also surged by 395.9% (481 vs 97), indicating a more severe impact from criminal activities.

Rising Risk

While homicide remains the most frequent risk with 16 incidents, the data from Jan 1 to Jul 1, 2026, shows a concerning rise in terrorism-related incidents, which now account for 7 occurrences, matching the count for kidnapping. This suggests a potential broadening of threat actors and methodologies in the state.

Severity Level

Homicide incidents recorded between Jan 1 and Jul 1, 2026, resulted in 16 recorded fatalities. With a total of 142 fatalities across 45 incidents, the average lethality rate is high, underscoring the extreme danger associated with ongoing security challenges in Kebbi.

Future Outlook

Given the substantial year-on-year increases in incidents, fatalities, and victims, the security outlook for Kebbi remains precarious. The continued dominance of banditry as the primary actor, coupled with the rise in terrorism, suggests that these trends are likely to persist in the near term without significant intervention.