Location Intelligence - Plateau State

Activity Pace

From January 1, 2026 to May 14, 2026, Plateau state experienced an 18% increase in incidents, a 59.2% increase in fatalities, and a 137.4% increase in victims compared to the same period last year. This trend indicates a significant escalation in security threats, with the number of victims more than doubling. The increase in fatalities and victims suggests a rising level of violence and severity in incidents.

Rising Risk

Homicide has emerged as the most frequent risk in Plateau state, with 25 incidents recorded from January 1, 2026 to May 14, 2026. This accounts for approximately 42% of the total incidents during this period. The high frequency of homicide incidents highlights the need for targeted interventions to address this specific threat and prevent further escalation.

Severity Level

With 191 fatalities recorded from January 1, 2026 to May 14, 2026, and 59 incidents in total, the fatality rate per incident is approximately 3.24. This indicates a high level of lethality in the incidents that occurred during this period. Homicide, being the most frequent risk, likely contributes to this high fatality rate, emphasizing the need for effective measures to mitigate this threat.

Future Outlook

Given the increasing trend in incidents, fatalities, and victims, the near-term outlook for Plateau state appears challenging. The recent surge in incidents, particularly in April 2026 with 20 incidents, may indicate a continued escalation of security threats. It is essential for security stakeholders to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing these emerging threats, especially homicide, to prevent further deterioration of the security situation.