Location Intelligence - Kaduna State

Activity Pace

From January 1 to June 11, 2026, Kaduna experienced a 3.6% decrease in incidents compared to the same period in 2025, falling from 55 to 53. However, fatalities saw a 10.3% increase, rising from 39 to 43, and the number of victims surged by 61.8%, from 204 to 330, indicating a more severe impact despite fewer overall events.

Rising Risk

Kidnapping remains the most frequent risk in Kaduna, accounting for 24 of the 53 incidents recorded between January 1 and June 11, 2026. This persistent threat, primarily attributed to banditry, continues to pose a significant risk to individuals and communities, particularly in areas like Birnin Gwari LGA.

Severity Level

Homicide incidents, while less frequent than kidnappings, show a concerning lethality. In the period from January 1 to June 11, 2026, there were 9 homicide incidents recorded, contributing to the overall rise in fatalities. The data suggests a high fatality rate associated with these events, demanding focused security attention.

Future Outlook

Given the upward trend in fatalities and victims despite a slight decrease in overall incidents, the security outlook for Kaduna remains challenging. The continued prevalence of banditry and associated violent crimes suggests that security forces must remain vigilant and proactive to mitigate further loss of life and reduce the impact on the civilian population.