Charts, cards, recent incidents, and risk scoring
update from this control.
Tracked Incidents (2026)
82
Most Prevalent Risk
Terrorism, Homicide
Most Affected LGA
Anka
Operational Score
2.25
Ranked 6th
Weighted Contribution
AI-Powered
Analyst Intelligence
Analysis
Activity Pace
From January 1 to July 1, 2026, Zamfara experienced a 2.6% increase in incidents compared to the same period in 2025, rising from 77 to 79. Fatalities saw a more significant 11.1% surge, increasing from 198 to 220. However, the total number of victims decreased by 38.5%, from 467 to 287, indicating a shift towards more lethal but fewer overall engagements.
Rising Risk
Terrorism remains the most prevalent threat in Zamfara, accounting for 29 incidents between January 1 and July 1, 2026. While Kidnapping incidents also remain high with 16 cases, the data suggests a continued focus on direct confrontation and violence rather than abduction as the primary tactic for key actors.
Severity Level
The lethality of incidents in Zamfara has increased significantly, with 220 fatalities recorded between January 1 and July 1, 2026, compared to 198 in the same period last year. This represents an 11.1% rise in deaths, suggesting that security forces and civilians are facing more violent encounters.
Future Outlook
Given the upward trend in both incidents and fatalities, the security outlook for Zamfara remains concerning. The continued dominance of banditry and terrorism as primary risks, coupled with an increase in lethal outcomes, suggests that the region will likely continue to face significant security challenges in the near term.
Visual Analytics
Incident Intelligence
Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)
Monthly breakdown of tracked security incidents
Prevalent Risk
Top risk indicators by frequency
High Impact Incidents in Zamfara (2026)
LGA-level incident density map
Incidents by Actors
Distribution of incidents by actor type
Verified
Updates
Recent Incidents
in Zamfara - 2026
Latest verified incident records linked to this
state's location intelligence profile.
Jul 07, 2026Medium
Zamfara vigilantes kill brother of notorious bandit leader in gun battle
Anka
The younger brother of notorious bandit leader Kachalla Shehu Bagiwaye, Alhaji Tukur, was reportedly killed during a clash between local vigilantes and bandits in Kaura Namoda Local Government Area of Zamfara State.
Jul 03, 2026Low
Three injured as troops repel terrorist attack on Zamfara military base
Anka
Nigerian troops have repelled a terrorist attack on a Forward Operating Base (FOB) in Moriki, Zurmi Local Government Area of Zamfara State. The incident was disclosed in a post shared on X by security analyst, Zagazola Makama on Saturday night. According to the post, the attack occurred at about 1:00 a.m. on Friday when the terrorists launched an assault on the military base from different directions. Security sources quoted by Makama said troops of Combat Team 5 (CT 5) held their positions and engaged the attackers in a gun battle. The troops were able to repel the attack, forcing the terrorists to retreat from the base. The sources added that three civilians were hit by stray bullets during the attack. The injured victims were immediately evacuated to a hospital, where they are receiving medical treatment, Makama wrote.
Jul 03, 2026Low
Three injured as troops repel terrorist attack on Zamfara military base
Anka
Nigerian troops have repelled a terrorist attack on a Forward Operating Base (FOB) in Moriki, Zurmi Local Government Area of Zamfara State. The incident was disclosed in a post shared on X by security analyst, Zagazola Makama on Saturday night. According to the post, the attack occurred at about 1:00 a.m. on Friday when the terrorists launched an assault on the military base from different directions. Security sources quoted by Makama said troops of Combat Team 5 (CT 5) held their positions and engaged the attackers in a gun battle. The troops were able to repel the attack, forcing the terrorists to retreat from the base. The sources added that three civilians were hit by stray bullets during the attack. The injured victims were immediately evacuated to a hospital, where they are receiving medical treatment, Makama wrote.
Jun 26, 2026High
Gunmen attack farming community, killing at least 15 in northwest Nigeria in latest deadly assault
Talata Mafara
[High Severity] Armed Attack / Mass Killing Talata Mafara LGA, Zamfara StateAt least 15 people have been killed following an attack by armed gunmen on a farming community in Talata Mafara LGA, Zamfara State. The assailants reportedly stormed the area and carried out a coordinated assault on residents, continuing a pattern of violent attacks linked to banditry in the region. Local authorities described the incident as a terrorist act, with no group officially claiming responsibility at the time of reporting.Advisory: The security situation in Zamfara State remains highly volatile, particularly in rural communities. Residents are advised to avoid isolated areas, limit movement, and adhere strictly to security advisories. There is an elevated risk of further attacks and retaliatory violence across affected LGAs.
Jun 24, 2026Low
Troops foil suspected terrorists attack in Zamfara, recover weapons
Anka
Troops of the 8 Division Garrison, Sector 2 of Operation FANSAN YAMMA, have foiled an attempted attack by suspected terrorists in Zamfara State, recovering weapons, motorcycles and other items during the operation.
Risk Breakdown
Operational Risk
Indicator
Incidents (Current)
Incidents (Prev)
Status
Terrorism
32
32
Stable
Kidnapping
16
62
Improving
Firearms Trafficking
4
10
Improving
Theft
2
0
Escalating
Armed Robbery
1
5
Improving
Human Trafficking
1
0
Escalating
Enterprise
Intelligence
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