Location Intelligence - Ogun State
Tracked Incidents (2026)
85
Most Prevalent Risk
Transportation Accident, Homicide
Most Affected LGA
Abeokuta North
Operational Score
0.68
Ranked 21stInsights
AnalysisActivity Pace
Security incidents in Ogun State have significantly decreased by 45.9% between January 1, 2026, and June 1, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025. Fatalities dropped by 43.5% and victims by 40.8%. This substantial reduction suggests an improved security posture across the state.
Rising Risk
While overall incidents have decreased, Transportation Accidents remain the most frequent risk, accounting for 24 incidents between January 1 and June 1, 2026. This indicates a persistent challenge on the state's roadways requiring continued attention and preventative measures.
Severity Level
During the period of January 1, 2026, to June 1, 2026, there were 74 fatalities recorded from 80 incidents, resulting in a high fatality rate. The primary driver of fatalities appears to be Transportation Accidents, though specific fatality breakdowns per risk type are not provided.
Future Outlook
The current downward trend in incidents and fatalities suggests a potentially more secure near-term outlook for Ogun State. However, the continued prominence of Transportation Accidents warrants ongoing vigilance and targeted interventions to maintain this positive trajectory.
Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)
Prevalent Risk
High Impact Incidents in Ogun (2026)
Incidents by Actors
Operational Risk
| Indicator | Incidents (Current) | Incidents (Prev) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Theft | 9 | 9 | Stable |
| Armed Robbery | 5 | 8 | Improving |
| Fraud | 3 | 5 | Improving |
| Organ Trafficking | 3 | 3 | Stable |
| Assaults | 2 | 19 | Improving |
| Firearms Trafficking | 2 | 3 | Improving |
| Kidnapping | 2 | 13 | Improving |
| Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse | 1 | 2 | Improving |
| Human Trafficking | 1 | 4 | Improving |
| Rape | 1 | 7 | Improving |
| Terrorism | 1 | 0 | Escalating |