Location Intelligence - Ekiti State

Activity Pace

The number of incidents in Ekiti from Jan 1, 2026 to May 13, 2026 has decreased by 67.9% compared to the same period last year, with 9 incidents reported this year versus 28 in the prior period. This significant decrease indicates a downward trend in the overall security risk. The number of fatalities has also decreased by 50% from 6 to 3, and the number of victims has increased by 250% from 14 to 49, during the same period.

Rising Risk

Armed Robbery has emerged as the most frequent risk in Ekiti, with 3 incidents reported from Jan 1, 2026 to May 13, 2026. Human Trafficking is also a rising concern, with 2 incidents reported during the same period. These risks are primarily perpetrated by citizens, with 6 out of 9 incidents involving citizens as the primary actors.

Severity Level

Insufficient lethality data for this period. However, the fatality rate can be calculated as 3 fatalities out of 9 incidents, resulting in a fatality rate of approximately 33.3% for the reported incidents.

Future Outlook

Based on the current trajectory, the near-term outlook for Ekiti appears stable, with no significant increase in incidents reported in the last month. The monthly incident count has been fluctuating, with 4 incidents reported in April 2026, but no incidents reported in May 2026. It is essential to continue monitoring the situation, especially in Ado Ekiti, which has been the most affected Local Government Area.