Charts, cards, recent incidents, and risk scoring
update from this control.
Tracked Incidents (2026)
65
Most Prevalent Risk
Homicide, Terrorism
Most Affected LGA
Munya
Operational Score
0.94
Ranked 16th
Weighted Contribution
AI-Powered
Analyst Intelligence
Analysis
Activity Pace
Between Jan 1, 2026 and Jul 1, 2026, total incidents decreased by 17.1% compared to the same period in 2025. However, fatalities saw a significant 61.3% increase, rising from 111 to 179, indicating a more lethal security environment despite fewer overall incidents.
Rising Risk
Homicide remains the most frequent risk, accounting for 17 of the 58 incidents recorded between Jan 1 and Jul 1, 2026. While not a new threat, its prevalence suggests a persistent and significant challenge requiring continued attention.
Severity Level
The period Jan 1 to Jul 1, 2026, shows a concerning rise in fatalities, with 179 deaths recorded compared to 111 in the prior year. This represents a 61.3% increase in lethality, highlighting that while fewer incidents occurred, those that did were more deadly.
Future Outlook
Given the substantial increase in fatalities despite a decrease in overall incidents, the security outlook suggests a near-term trend of higher lethality. This trajectory, particularly with 'Bandits' as a primary actor, indicates that ongoing threats may become more severe, demanding enhanced protective measures.
Visual Analytics
Incident Intelligence
Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)
Monthly breakdown of tracked security incidents
Prevalent Risk
Top risk indicators by frequency
High Impact Incidents in Niger (2026)
LGA-level incident density map
Incidents by Actors
Distribution of incidents by actor type
Verified
Updates
Recent Incidents
in Niger - 2026
Latest verified incident records linked to this
state's location intelligence profile.
Jul 04, 2026Medium
Four feared dead as bandits attack two villages, hospital in Niger
Munya
Four civilians have been killed and several houses razed after bandits attacked two communities and a hospital amid renewed communal violence between Fulani and Kamuku groups in Rafi Local Government Area of Niger State.
Jul 04, 2026Medium
Three soldiers reportedly killed, several injured in suspected IED explosion
Munya
Three Nigerian soldiers were reportedly killed and several others injured after their patrol vehicle allegedly struck an Improvised Explosive Device, IED, near Babanna in Borgu Local Government Area. The incident was reported by conflict and security journalist Bakatsine in a post on X on Sunday. According to the report, the explosion occurred on Saturday morning between Machiyan Gyada and Baturen Daji in the Dekara axis as the troops were returning from a security patrol.
Jul 04, 2026Medium
Three soldiers reportedly killed, several injured in suspected IED explosion
Munya
Three Nigerian soldiers were reportedly killed and several others injured after their patrol vehicle allegedly struck an Improvised Explosive Device, IED, near Babanna in Borgu Local Government Area. The incident was reported by conflict and security journalist Bakatsine in a post on X on Sunday. According to the report, the explosion occurred on Saturday morning between Machiyan Gyada and Baturen Daji in the Dekara axis as the troops were returning from a security patrol.
Jul 01, 2026Low
Bandits sighted moving towards Niger community after clash
Munya
Groups of suspected bandits have reportedly been seen moving through the Mailaka axis towards Kotonkoro in Mariga Local Government Area of Niger State after an earlier clash in the area. According to security analyst Bakatsine on X, the movement followed an attack on the farm of the Mariga LGA vigilante leader, Alhaji Hashimu Kotonkoro, on the outskirts of Kotonkoro. Bakatsine said, Fresh groups of bandits have been sighted moving through the Mailaka axis toward Kotonkoro in Mariga LGA of Niger State.
Jul 01, 2026Low
Bandits sighted moving towards Niger community after clash
Munya
Groups of suspected bandits have reportedly been seen moving through the Mailaka axis towards Kotonkoro in Mariga Local Government Area of Niger State after an earlier clash in the area. According to security analyst Bakatsine on X, the movement followed an attack on the farm of the Mariga LGA vigilante leader, Alhaji Hashimu Kotonkoro, on the outskirts of Kotonkoro. Bakatsine said, Fresh groups of bandits have been sighted moving through the Mailaka axis toward Kotonkoro in Mariga LGA of Niger State.
Risk Breakdown
Operational Risk
Indicator
Incidents (Current)
Incidents (Prev)
Status
Terrorism
9
12
Improving
Kidnapping
5
28
Improving
Armed Robbery
4
12
Improving
Theft
2
13
Improving
Assaults
1
6
Improving
Firearms Trafficking
1
0
Escalating
Fraud
1
2
Improving
Rape
1
2
Improving
Enterprise
Intelligence
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